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International Journal of Mathematical, Engineering and Management Sciences

eISSN: 2455-7749 . Open Access


Optimal Covid-19 Control on Effectiveness of Detection Campaign and Treatment

Optimal Covid-19 Control on Effectiveness of Detection Campaign and Treatment

Mouhamadou A. M. T. Baldé
Laboratory of Mathematics of Decision and Numerical Analysis, University of Cheikh Anta Diop, BP, 5005, Dakar, Senegal.

Sidy Ly
Laboratory of Mathematics of Decision and Numerical Analysis, University of Cheikh Anta Diop, BP, 5005, Dakar, Senegal.

Léna Tendeng
Laboratory of Mathematics of Decision and Numerical Analysis, University of Cheikh Anta Diop, BP, 5005, Dakar, Senegal.

DOI https://doi.org/10.33889/IJMEMS.2025.10.2.021

Received on June 11, 2024
  ;
Accepted on January 10, 2025

Abstract

The COVID-19 pandemic has seen the development of several mathematical models. In recent years, the very topical issue of re-susceptibility has led to the proposal of more complex models to address this issue. The paper deals with an optimal control problem applied to COVID-19. The Pontryagin maximum principle and the dynamic programming principle are used to solve the problem. A compartmental Ordinary Differential Equation (ODE) model is proposed to study the evolution of the pandemic by controlling the effectiveness of the detection campaign and the treatment. We prove the global stability of the Disease-Free Equilibrium (DFE) and the existence of optimal control and trajectories of the model. In the optimal control problem, we bring the system back to the DFE. Numerical simulations based on COVID-19 data in Senegal show possibilities to reduce the disease evolution, sometimes by emphasizing the detection campaign and/or the treatment proposed to patients.

Keywords- Differential equations, Dynamic programming principle, Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equations, Pontryagin maximum principle, Covid-19.

Citation

Baldé, M. A. M. T. Ly, S., & Tendeng, L. (2025). Optimal Covid-19 Control on Effectiveness of Detection Campaign and Treatment. International Journal of Mathematical, Engineering and Management Sciences, 10(2), 420-440. https://doi.org/10.33889/IJMEMS.2025.10.2.021.